Nõmme United IIvsTallinna Kalev II

Nõmme United II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United II hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nõmme United II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.