GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 8/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Lowconfidence

Nõmme United II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nõmme Kalju II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United II hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United II

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

6.9%

Nõmme United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nõmme United IILWLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Nõmme Kalju IILLLLD

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Nõmme United IINõmme Kalju II
59.1Attack49.2
22.7Defence12.7
34.8Form30.2
40.9Power33.0
3.52xG2.12
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