Nõmme United IIvs
Nõmme Kalju II
SCHEDULEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 8/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nõmme United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Nõmme United II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nõmme Kalju II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United II hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nõmme United II
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
6.9%
Nõmme United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20