Nõmme Kalju IIvsTartu Welco

Nõmme Kalju II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 38.6-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.