Nõmme Kalju IIvsMaardu

Nõmme Kalju II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Maardu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maardu hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the Esiliiga A, while Maardu holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.