Nõmme Kalju IIvsFC Tallinn

Nõmme Kalju II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tallinn hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme Kalju II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.