GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 7/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Nõmme Kalju II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Elva are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Elva

Probability

64.9%

Model confidence

64.9%

Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nõmme Kalju IILLWLL

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ElvaWLLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Nõmme Kalju IIElva
47.0Attack62.1
12.1Defence45.5
28.8Form51.5
31.8Power54.1
1.61xG3.31
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