Nõmme Kalju IIvs
Elva
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 7/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Nõmme Kalju II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Elva are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elva
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80