GGOALVIO

NK Varazdin logoNK VarazdinvsHNK Rijeka logoHNK Rijeka

SCHEDULED

Croatia · HNL · 8/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NK Varazdin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

NK Varazdin are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while HNK Rijeka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 80.3 against 80.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the HNL, while NK Varazdin holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NK Varazdin

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

NK Varazdin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NK VarazdinWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HNK RijekaDWWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power80.3
1.52xG1.29
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