GGOALVIO

Croatia · HNL · 8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Mediumconfidence

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HNK Gorica are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb hold a 68.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the HNL, favouring NK Lokomotiva Zagreb with 10.1% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Probability

63.5%

Model confidence

10.1%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebWDDDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HNK GoricaLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
100.0Attack16.7
50.0Defence16.7
100.0Form0.0
86.5Power18.3
2.25xG1.01
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