Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4
NJS are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ilves II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves II hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (11.7 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.0% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Ilves II holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves II
Probability
86.0%
Model confidence
86.0%
Ilves II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80