Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Njardvik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
9%
LowconfidenceNjardvik are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vestri are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Njardvik hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the 1. Deild, favouring Njardvik with 9.4% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Njardvik
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
9.4%
Njardvik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NjardvikWWLWW
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VestriLDLLL
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NjardvikVestri
52.9Attack52.9
56.9Defence27.5
56.9Form41.2
56.5Power42.4
2.65xG1.24