Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Njardvik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Njardvik are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Grotta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Njardvik hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the 1. Deild, while Njardvik holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Njardvik
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Njardvik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00