Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Njardvik · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Njardvik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Grindavik are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Njardvik hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the 1. Deild, while Njardvik holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Njardvik
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
12.1%
Njardvik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00