Nizhny NovgorodvsShinnik Yaroslavl

Nizhny Novgorod are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shinnik Yaroslavl are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nizhny Novgorod hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (89.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the First League, while Nizhny Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.