Nizhny Novgorodvs
Rotor Volgograd
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 7/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nizhny Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nizhny Novgorod are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rotor Volgograd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nizhny Novgorod hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (89.3 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the First League, while Nizhny Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nizhny Novgorod
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Nizhny Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00