GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nizhny Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nizhny Novgorod are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rotor Volgograd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nizhny Novgorod hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (89.3 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the First League, while Nizhny Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nizhny Novgorod

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Nizhny Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nizhny NovgorodLWWDD

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Rotor VolgogradLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Nizhny NovgorodRotor Volgograd
100.0Attack61.1
66.7Defence55.6
100.0Form55.6
89.3Power58.0
1.85xG1.05
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