Nizhny NovgorodvsFK Tobol Kostanay

Nizhny Novgorod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FK Tobol Kostanay are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nizhny Novgorod hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nizhny Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.