GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nizhny Novgorod · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Nizhny Novgorod are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FK Neftekhimik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nizhny Novgorod hold a 54.3-point power-rating edge (89.3 v 35.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.0% in the First League, while Nizhny Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nizhny Novgorod

Probability

68.0%

Model confidence

68.0%

Nizhny Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nizhny NovgorodWWWWL

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FK NeftekhimikWLWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nizhny NovgorodFK Neftekhimik
100.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence44.4
100.0Form33.3
89.3Power35.1
2.23xG0.60
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