Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Niva are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orsha are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.9% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
78.9%
Model confidence
78.9%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80