Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Niva are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Minsk II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.6% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
79.6%
Model confidence
79.6%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00