Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
11%
MediumconfidenceNiva are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Slutsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and fC Slutsk hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 69.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1. Division, favouring a draw with 11.2% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.1%
Model confidence
11.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NivaWWDWW
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC SlutskWDWDL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NivaFC Slutsk
75.9Attack70.4
63.0Defence63.0
66.7Form72.2
67.4Power69.8
1.81xG1.46