Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Niva are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while BATE II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold a 37.0-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 30.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.2% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
89.2%
Model confidence
89.2%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60