Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nitra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nitra are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Galanta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nitra hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 9.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nitra holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nitra
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Nitra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20