GGOALVIO

China · League One · 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ningbo Professional are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guangxi Hengchen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ningbo ProfessionalLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guangxi HengchenDWWWL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Ningbo ProfessionalGuangxi Hengchen
45.1Attack58.8
56.9Defence58.8
52.9Form56.9
53.6Power59.4
1.17xG1.41
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