Niecieczavs
Warta Poznań
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 8/9/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nieciecza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nieciecza are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Warta Poznań are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nieciecza hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the I Liga, while Nieciecza holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nieciecza
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Nieciecza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20