Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nice are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nimes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nice hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nice holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nice
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
11.7%
Nice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40