GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/8/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newtown AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Newtown AFC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Penrhyncoch are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Newtown AFC hold an 86.8-point power-rating edge (98.0 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the FAW Championship, while Newtown AFC holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newtown AFC

Probability

68.5%

Model confidence

68.5%

Newtown AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newtown AFCWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
PenrhyncochLWWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Newtown AFCPenrhyncoch
100.0Attack16.7
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
98.0Power11.2
2.83xG1.11
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