Newtown AFCvs
Guilsfield
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newtown AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Newtown AFC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Guilsfield are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Newtown AFC hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (98.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the FAW Championship, while Newtown AFC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Newtown AFC
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
9.5%
Newtown AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60