Newport Countyvs
Rochdale
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rochdale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Newport County are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Rochdale are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rochdale hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the League Two, while Rochdale holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rochdale
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
13.2%
Rochdale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40