Newport Countyvs
Reading
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Newport County are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Reading are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
13.8%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80