GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Newport County are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AS Roma are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 37.7 against 38.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Newport County holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newport County

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Newport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newport CountyWLDDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AS RomaLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Newport CountyAS Roma
20.0Attack66.7
60.0Defence13.3
26.7Form33.3
37.7Power38.8
1.89xG1.58
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