Newport CityvsCarmarthen Town

Newport City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Carmarthen Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Carmarthen Town hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the FAW Championship, while Newport City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.