GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Newells Old Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newells Old BoysWLWLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San LorenzoDWDWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Newells Old BoysSan Lorenzo
31.7Attack25.4
46.7Defence69.8
31.7Form41.3
39.1Power48.1
0.60xG0.77
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