Newells Old Boysvs
Independiente
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 1/28/2026, 1:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Newells Old Boys are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Independiente are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20