GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/21/2026, 8:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Newells Old Boys are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Gimnasia M. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia M. hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newells Old BoysLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia M.LDDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Newells Old BoysGimnasia M.
31.7Attack28.3
46.7Defence60.0
31.7Form41.7
39.1Power45.7
0.80xG0.85
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