GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Newells Old Boys are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Riestra are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Riestra hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.8% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

31.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newells Old BoysLDLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo RiestraWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Newells Old BoysDeportivo Riestra
31.7Attack18.3
46.7Defence75.0
31.7Form28.3
39.1Power42.2
0.51xG0.67
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