Argentina · Reserve League · 4/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newell's Old Boys Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Newell's Old Boys Res. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Independiente Riva. Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Newell's Old Boys Res. hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Reserve League, while Newell's Old Boys Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Newell's Old Boys Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20