GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newcastle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Newcastle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Strasbourg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Newcastle holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newcastle

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

10.4%

Newcastle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NewcastleWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
StrasbourgWWDLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NewcastleStrasbourg
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.88xG1.60
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