Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newcastle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Newcastle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Everton are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Newcastle holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Newcastle
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
10.4%
Newcastle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40