GGOALVIO

Newcastle logoNewcastlevsBayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen

SCHEDULED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Newcastle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bayer Leverkusen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayer Leverkusen

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

10.6%

Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NewcastleWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bayer LeverkusenWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power88.7
1.60xG1.84
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