GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newcastle Jets II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Newcastle Jets II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hurstville FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hurstville FC hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the New South Wales NPL 2, while Newcastle Jets II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newcastle Jets II

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Newcastle Jets II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newcastle Jets IIWLDWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Hurstville FCWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Newcastle Jets IIHurstville FC
59.5Attack47.6
27.4Defence45.2
33.3Form39.3
41.8Power46.3
2.10xG1.95
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