GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 3/21/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blacktown Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Newcastle Jets II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Blacktown Spartans are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Blacktown Spartans hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.9% in the New South Wales NPL 2, while Blacktown Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blacktown Spartans

Probability

74.9%

Model confidence

74.9%

Blacktown Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newcastle Jets IIWDLDL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Blacktown SpartansWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Newcastle Jets IIBlacktown Spartans
59.5Attack84.5
27.4Defence61.9
33.3Form77.4
41.8Power74.3
1.34xG3.78
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