New York Red Bullsvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York Red Bulls · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
New York Red Bulls are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while St. Louis City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 46.3-point power-rating edge (84.8 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while New York Red Bulls holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York Red Bulls
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
New York Red Bulls has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40