New York Red Bullsvs
Orlando City SC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York Red Bulls · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
New York Red Bulls are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Orlando City SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Major League Soccer, while New York Red Bulls holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York Red Bulls
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
New York Red Bulls has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00