New York Red Bullsvs
FC Cincinnati
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
New York Red Bulls are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FC Cincinnati are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Cincinnati
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20