New York Red Bullsvs
DC United
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York Red Bulls are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while DC United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
DC United
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20