New York Red Bullsvs
Charlotte
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/25/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York Red Bulls are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Charlotte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20