New York City IIvs
Toronto II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 3/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
New York City II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Toronto II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City II hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the MLS Next Pro, while New York City II holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City II
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60