GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/15/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New York City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New York City II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while New York RB II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New York RB II hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the MLS Next Pro, while New York City II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New York City II

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New York City IIDLLLW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
New York RB IIWWDWW

GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
New York City IINew York RB II
55.6Attack65.2
46.0Defence44.9
49.2Form53.6
51.2Power54.3
2.00xG1.99
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