GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New York City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New York City II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Connecticut FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.2 against 52.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while New York City II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New York City II

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New York City IILLDDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Connecticut FCLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New York City IIConnecticut FC
55.6Attack63.5
46.0Defence41.3
49.2Form50.8
51.2Power52.9
2.14xG1.93
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