GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New York City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New York City II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chicago Fire II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.1 against 53.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while New York City II holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New York City II

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New York City IILWLLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Fire IIDLDDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
New York City IIChicago Fire II
55.0Attack68.3
50.0Defence46.0
51.7Form47.6
53.1Power53.4
1.96xG1.91
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