New York City IIvs
Chattanooga
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 6/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York City II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chattanooga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00